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Troy McIntyre's avatar

The season is, for all intents and purposes, over. We are statistically more likely to win the Wooden Spoon than we are to qualify for the playoff play-in match.

Based on historical averages this decade, Eastern Conference teams need roughly 45 points to qualify for the playoffs. We're on pace for 24. We're not technically eliminated at the halfway mark, but to get there, the team would need to average 1.94 points per match across the final 17. They've done that once in franchise history, in 2018. This team isn't that team. This team is averaging .71 points per match. Since Atlanta United entered the league, Wooden Spoon winners have averaged .71 points per match. We've never been closer to the Spoon than we are right now.

This window was the last chance to change that, and managing this roster during it has been criminal. In a 54 day World Cup break, we've had two credible rumors, both center backs, one to replace a center back signed last summer and one to supplement the other four cycled out that same summer. While active on the outbound side, it's been anemic on the incoming side.

Six players have been shipped out or shelved: Berrocal, Galarza, Saba, Latte Lath, Amador, and Alzate. Two have come in. Beyond the revolving door at center back that Henderson has installed, the team is also trying to replace two midfielders who lasted half a season, a striker who should have been moved out at the end of last season, a winger who needed real reinforcements in the offseason and never got them, and a left back who is arguably better than the man brought in to replace him.

The club keeps saying they're working hard to sign players. Even so, given how long it takes any international signing to get a visa and acclimate, it will realistically be September before anyone new can make a meaningful difference. That leaves 12 matches. We'd need to win essentially all of them to have any hope of reaching the play-in. Based on the historic trends of roster signings and misses in the Henderson era, hope is not high.

The folks who are tasked with convincing supporters to renew their season ticket memberships have all of my sympathy.

Brett Mendell's avatar

I realize this is just nipping at the edges and won’t fill the great soccer void that is Atlanta United, but can we at least play Cayman at striker rather than playing someone else out of position there. I don’t think it was a coincidence that Atlanta scored its lone goal in the 10 minutes he played and he was in the middle of it.

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